Google executives recently claimed that YouTube users submit 13-15 hours of video material every minute. Downloads are ten times that.
Although these numbers are impressive, they translate into an average viewer population of 90.000. The Super Bowl typically attracts close to 100 million viewers. American Tv networks measure their audience by the million. Popular programs attract 10-20 million simultaneous viewers.
Can the Internet’s technical infrastructure sustain this? At 1 megabit/sec for each stream, the total YouTube traffic would compare to one sixth of the peak traffic on the Amsterdam Internet Exchange, so that would not be too hard.
Even with growth rates of 40% per year, it will take until 2016 before YouTube passes the 1 million simultaneous viewers mark.
TV is not dead. Yet.